Experts are raising the alarm: the State Pension Age in the UK could rise to 70 as the government grapples with growing financial pressures and longer life expectancies.
With the current age set at 66—and rising to 67 by 2028—Chancellor Rachel Reeves argues that a review is now necessary to keep the system sustainable and affordable.
This article explores the key facts, figures, and implications of the proposed change and outlines what to expect in the coming years.
Why Is the Pension Age Under Review?
- Life expectancy is increasing, meaning more years spent in retirement.
- By 2070, the State Pension is projected to cost 7.7% of GDP, up from around 5% today.
- The current triple lock—which ensures pensions rise each year by the highest of wage growth, inflation, or 2.5%—is costing far more than expected, projected to reach £15.5 billion more annually by 2029–30 than initially forecast.
- These factors make a pension age increase look increasingly likely to protect the public finances (and younger generations) from unsustainable future spending.
Timeline and Scope of the Review
- Current pension age: 66 years old.
- Scheduled increase: to 67 by 2028.
- A government review is underway, with findings expected in March 2029 to determine whether raising the age further is necessary.
- Some analysts and advisers anticipate a rise to age 70, reflecting both financial and demographic demands.
Economic Pressures Fueling the Debate
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) highlights several fiscal pressures:
- State Pension spending is set to surge from 5% of GDP today to around 7.7% by the 2070s.
- The extra cost from the triple lock is a major driver—up to 1.6 percentage points of GDP are attributed solely to it.
- Without reform, public debt could spiral, threatening fiscal sustainability.
Voices from Both Sides
- Samuel Mather-Holgate, an independent financial adviser, warns the system is primed for squeezing, adding that raising the pension age to 70 is likely.
- Union leaders are strongly opposed—pressuring that many workers cannot realistically work longer, particularly those in manual or shift-intensive roles.
- Meanwhile, government figures emphasize that supporting current pensioners remains a priority—including using tools like the triple lock and pension credit uptake campaigns—but admit future stability is uncertain.
Quick Facts Summary
Item | Detail |
---|---|
Current Pension Age | 66, rising to 67 by 2028 |
Potential New Age | 70 (under consideration by review) |
Review Report Due | March 2029 |
Current Spending | ≈ 5% of GDP |
Projected Spending | ≈ 7.7% of GDP by early 2070s |
Triple Lock Cost Rise | £15.5bn/year by 2029–30 more than originally forecast |
Main Drivers | Ageing population & generous pension upratings (triple lock) |
Stakeholder Views | Financial experts warning increase; unions strongly opposed |
What Could This Mean for You?
If the pension age is raised to 70:
- You may need to work up to four extra years before receiving state pension.
- This change would shift retirement plans, personal savings requirements, and career timelines—particularly for those in physically demanding roles.
- Future generations may be forced to rely more on private pensions or extended employment to maintain retirement income.
The prospect of the State Pension Age rising to 70 is becoming increasingly plausible as the UK faces mounting fiscal pressures, an ageing population, and ballooning pension costs.
While the government seeks to protect current retirees—through mechanisms like the triple lock and enhanced pension credit—serious questions about the system’s long-term viability remain.
The March 2029 review could usher in a seismic shift in retirement planning across the UK. Now is the time to stay informed and consider how this might affect your financial future.
FAQs
Will the State Pension Age definitely rise to 70?
Not yet. While a review is due in March 2029, analysts suggest age 70 is a strong possibility given rising costs and demographic pressures.
What’s driving the push for a higher pension age?
Mainly longer life expectancy, the steeply increasing cost of pensions (projected to reach 7.7% of GDP), and the hefty financial burden of the triple lock policy.
When is the next change to the pension age expected?
The next scheduled rise is to 67 by 2028. The government’s broader review, which could decide further changes, will report in March 2029.